Publications

Radar systems are investigated for the acquisition of weather data to support detection and forecasting of hazardous turbulence associated with individual storm cells. Utilization of the FAA Airport Surveillance Radar (ASR) is explored. The issues of antenna polarization and Sensitivity Time Control (STG) that impact on shared operation for aircraft and weather detection are addressed. Candidate system configurations employing a common RF channel and dual orthogonal polarization channels are discussed. Ground clutter discrimination by coherent Doppler and noncoherent (Doppler spread) processing methods is described. An interim procedure is suggested for obtaining fixed reflectivity contour data from a Moving Target Detector for use in the all-digital ARTS. A preliminary design is presented for a new joint-use, long-range weather radar to support enroute air traffic controllers and to meet the data requirements of the National Weather Service and the Air Weather Service.

A procedure was developed to detect hazardous regions within thunderstorms using weather radar data. The procedure is based upon the hypothesis that convective turbulence occurs within 2-3 km of relative radar reflectivity maxima (cells). The hypothesis was tested using a limited set of simultaneous aircraft and radar data. Good agreement was found between the observed regions of convective turbulence and the cell locations determined by radar. The viability of the hazard detection hypothesis as a basis for automatic warning and forcast depends upon the reliability of the cell detection and tracking algorithms. Analysis of precision radar data revealed that the cells are small in area extent, have a detection probability in excess of 0.9 using multiple radar scans, and are readily tracked for periods between 10 and 20 minutes. The characteristics of radar systems for acquiring data to support cell detection, are discussed. The role of Doppler spectral data is explored, and it is found that practical limitations on radar beamwidth hamper direct observation of turbulence on the scale size hazardous to aircraft.

This report summarizes the results of a study to: (1) investigate the primary needs of air traffic controllers, flow controllers, and central flow controllers for weather information, (2) define a cost effective system concept to meet these needs, and (3) lay out a plan for the development of the proposed weather subsystem to support Air Traffic Control. The recommended system will provide rapid geration and dissemination of reliable use oriented observations and very short range severe weather forecasts (up to 30 min.) to facilitate controller planning. This new capability will: 1) reduce weather induced controller work load peaks, 2) permit controllers to coordinate and preplan aircraft rerouting for weather avoidance, 3) achieve an improved balance between the inefficiency of overreaction and the essentials of safety, 4) facilitate controller response to pilot requests for weather data on a work load permitting basis, and 5) enable the issuance of accurate weather advisories. The system will also provide rapid generation and dissemination of reliable short range forecasts (up to 4 hours) to permit early introduction of necessary flow control procedures. This new capability will: 1) decrease problems for controllers, 2) increase acceptance of flow control, and 3) increase traffic flow efficiency without decreasing safety.

The rain range experiment was conducted to test the adequacy of the assumptions usually made in the analysis of attenuation or phase shift due to rain: spherical drop shape, Mie scattering for a single drop, and single scattering theory for the coherent summation of the effects of each drop. A sprayer system was built that provided a stable drop size distribution that was measured and used for the estimation of the attenuation and phase shift on a line-of-sight measurement path through the spray. Measurements of attenuation and phase shift were made using vertical and horizontal polarization at 7.9 GHz and vertical polarization at 33.9 GHz. The results of the experiment show agreement between measurements and the theoretical model. The 7.9 GHz data also showed the attenuation and phase shift for horizontal polarization to be higher than for vertical polarization.

A concept formulation study of the control aspects of the fourth generation air traffic control system is presented. The results of this study are not strongly influenced by present-day equipment. They are influenced by certain aspects of present airspace utilization and procedures which appear necessary for the design of an effective system. The inputs to the control system design include the fourth generation air traffic demand, characteristics of fixed elements (types of aircraft, etc.), and disturbances such as weather effects. The control system which has been formulated includes flight plan generation, flow control, conformance monitoring, and collision avoidance as control functions. A baseline control system is given as a first iteration of the fourth generation system. The baseline system is defined by classifying types of airspace, conformance requirements, and required segregation of classes of flight paths. The airspace is divided into three categories: positive control air space containing only controlled aircraft, controlled (mixed) air space containing both controlled and cooperative aircraft, and uncontrolled airspace containing uncontrolled aircraft. Cooperative aircraft must be able to accept IPC co-ands as well as simplified flight plans when flying in high density retied air space. The surveillance, navigation, and communications systems complete the interacting parts of the control system. Candidate fourth generation system concepts ranging from the completely tactical to the highly strategic have been described both in this report and elsewhere. In order to characterize a proposed concept we have drawn up a list of decisions which we find must be made in the course of a flight. We then consider where these decisions are made and thereby characterize the system. The feasibility of generating conflict free flight plans is investigated with the aid of analytical models. A consideration of the factors which influence the flight planning process is presented. Use is made of a generally accepted traffic density model for the 1995 time period. The expected number of conflicts for selected routes and the distances required to resolve conflicts are evaluated. The use of aircraft performance characteristics in evaluating the effectiveness of conflict resolution maneuvers is discussed. The level of conformance necessary for conflict free flight plans is determined for each maneuver. For cases in which the required conformance was unrealistically high, it was determined that providing velocity structure in high density airspace permitted a decrease in conformance requirements. Factors which directly influence the capability of aircraft to conform to flight plans in a strategic system as well as the relevant technology areas peculiar to the implementation of conflict free flight plans are considered. The conclusions reached during this study are followed by recommendations for future work in specific areas.

To develop plans for a viable ATC system over the next 25 years a whole spectrum of studies can be conducted, each concerned with a different time frame. The spectrum, when laid out over time, is bracketed by two extreme cases. 1. One extreme is analysis of the present ATC system to identify its shortcomings, followed by synthesis studies to identify evolutionary ways of overcoming these shortcomings. 2. At the other extreme one can study the ATC system sufficiently far into the future that decisions need not be constrained by existing equipment, airspace utilization and procedures. Between these two extremes are other studies concerned with developing plans for intermediate time frames. To be effective, study (1) must be done immediately. Study (2) should precede many of the studies for intermediate time frames since the results of study (2) should be available to influence what is done in intervening periods. In this report we view the Fourth Generation Concept Formulation Study as study (2). Thus the results are not strongly influenced by present day equipment and are influenced by present airspace utilization and procedures only where they appear to be as good or better than other ways of operating the system. The ATC system is designed to fulfill certain needs of the nation. To satisfy those needs the ATC system must achieve specific objectives. The major objective of the system is to provide safe, expeditious flow of air traffic at reasonable cost. It is generally accepted that to achieve this objective certain functions in the area of surveillance, navigation, and communication must be performed and that considerable data processing in the ATC system is required. The examination of ways of achieving various performance levels of these functions is the subject of concept formulation in -- the areas of surveillance, navigation, communication and data processing. Given that the surveillance, communication, and navigation functions are performed, there are other functions which are required in order to achieve the objectives of the ATC system. These functions, which include flow control, metering, sequencing, spacing, conformance and hazard monitoring, and conflict and hazard resolution make up the control aspects of the ATC system. In terms of the operation of the ATC system the surveillance, communication and navigation functions must be performed if the control functions are to be performed. In terms of the design of the system, however, the surveillance, communication, and navigation functions cannot be specified in detail until the required control functions are determined in detail. Thus, studies in the control area must be performed in a timely manner in order to insure that studies in the other areas will be conducted at a high level of efficiency. Control studies seek to determine the detailed characteristics of the functions which will be performed to achieve the objectives of the ATC system.

Simultaneous measurements were made of the backscatter cross section and the bistatic scattering cross section of rain and thin turbulent layers. The radar measurements were made at a frequency of 1.3 GHz using the Millstone Hill Radar. The bistatic scattering measurements were made using CW transmission at 7.7 GHz with a 145-km separation between transmitter and receiver. The receive station was the Westford Communication Terminal with a 60-foot antenna. The transmitter was van-mounted and used either a 6-foot antenna or a standard gain horn. Stable frequency sources were used to allow Doppler shift measurements on the bistatic scattering link. The measurements were made by fixing the pointing angles of the transmit antenna and scanning both the receive antenna and the radar to investigate the dependence of the scattered signals both on scattering angle and on the location of the scatterers. The measurements of the scattering cross section of the thin turbulent layers were made in the near forward direction, the measurements of rain at a large number of scattering angles. System sensitivities allowed the measurement of scattering from turbulent layers at a 10-km height with a thickness, Cn^2 product of 10^-13 N^2 m^1/3 and from rain with a 0.1 mm/hr. rate. Comparisons between the radar and bistatic measurements were in good agreement with the appropriate scattering theories.

The problem of received signal degradation for coherent pulse transmission through a rain scattering volume was investigated for large bandwidth transmission at 4.0, 8.0, 15.5 and 34. 86GHz. Calculations of pulse length and total pulse energy were made for different path lengths through the rain volume. The calculations were made for models of heavy and extreme rainfall, using rain rates 49.0 and 196.3 mm/hr. The results of the computations show that for the rain rates considered, the dominant cause of signal degradation is attenuation. Negligible pulse lengthening was noted at 34.86 GHz. For rain rates above 196 mm/hr. and frequencies of 15.5 and 8.0 GHz, measurable values of pulse lengthening were calculated for bandwidths above 2.0 GHz. At 4.0 GHz, measurable values of pulse lengthening were obtained for both rain rates considered.

Scattergrams of attenuation coefficient, effective reflectivity factor, single-scattering albedo, and radio refractivity vs liquid-water content, rain rate, and reflectivity factor are presented for a raindrop temperature of 0.0 degrees celsius and frequencies of 1.29, 2.80, 8.0, 9.35, 15.5, 35.0, 70.0, and 94.0 GHz. The scattergrams were computed using Mie theory to compute the scattering parameters for single raindrops, and single-scattering theory to compute the integrated scattering effects of an ensemble of raindrops. Measured drop-size distributions were used to generate the scattergrams.